Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.034784 0.037833 0.040892 0.044184 0.047621 0.051097 0.054875
2026-01-25 0.028551 0.032976 0.037557 0.042631 0.048071 0.053710 0.059976
2026-02-01 0.024398 0.029812 0.035581 0.042134 0.049320 0.056916 0.065508
2026-02-08 0.021260 0.027409 0.034140 0.041960 0.050704 0.060101 0.070883
2026-02-15 0.019525 0.026373 0.034045 0.043125 0.053437 0.064662 0.077685
2026-02-22 0.017930 0.025333 0.033810 0.044015 0.055766 0.068703 0.083856
2026-03-01 0.016338 0.024151 0.033292 0.044476 0.057525 0.072038 0.089186
2026-03-08 0.014818 0.022929 0.032624 0.044672 0.058904 0.074886 0.093918
2026-03-15 0.013885 0.022358 0.032670 0.045658 0.061152 0.078688 0.099702
2026-03-22 0.012237 0.020750 0.031357 0.044932 0.061328 0.080057 0.102669
2026-03-29 0.011206 0.019874 0.030890 0.045180 0.062611 0.082672 0.107033
2026-04-05 0.010446 0.019305 0.030767 0.045814 0.064326 0.085766 0.111933
2026-04-12 0.009639 0.018641 0.030514 0.046297 0.065890 0.088729 0.116746
2026-04-19 0.008106 0.016828 0.028679 0.044728 0.064912 0.088662 0.118005
2026-04-26 0.007114 0.015725 0.027725 0.044231 0.065208 0.090078 0.120981
2026-05-03 0.006327 0.014865 0.027053 0.044058 0.065879 0.091921 0.124443
2026-05-10 0.006047 0.014780 0.027440 0.045259 0.068257 0.095816 0.130337
2026-05-17 0.005703 0.014562 0.027620 0.046175 0.070271 0.099268 0.135704
2026-05-24 0.005256 0.014136 0.027482 0.046650 0.071715 0.102021 0.140236
2026-05-31 0.004770 0.013600 0.027156 0.046852 0.072797 0.104324 0.144223
2026-06-07 0.004536 0.013486 0.027435 0.047864 0.074910 0.107885 0.149719
2026-06-14 0.003882 0.012545 0.026448 0.047119 0.074742 0.108631 0.151817
2026-06-21 0.003520 0.012114 0.026202 0.047373 0.075852 0.110940 0.155794